Candygram4Mongo

A solid strategy this season seems to be Hero RB, so it’s a goal to get a top 10ish RB in round 1 or 2, pound WR and fill the onesie positions before getting back to RB around round 8. At 8, CMac, Breece and Bijan should be gone. Tyreek and CeeDee will be gone. Ideally, Amun Ra StBrown would fall to 8. He’s the last WR with no concerns. It gets tough when it’s a choice of JChase, JJefferson, AJBrown, GWilson, Puka, JGibbs, JTaylor, Kyren Williams and Saquon. Chase has slight concerns due to contract issues and questions about Joe Burrow’s durability. Drafting JJ means relying on Sam Darnold to make a first round pick pay off. Yuck. AJBrown is as talented as they come, has shown overall WR1 play, but his bad streak at the end of last season is concerning. However, it also could be the launching pad for a statement season. Taking Wilson is to bet the whole season on Aaron Rodgers, who presents questions of age, and the non-zero chance that he just might not have it after two years away from his last sustained success. It’s the Jets, so disaster is not unexpected. Puka looks quite solid. McVay and Stafford are a reliable formula to support two top 20 WRs. If one eschews WR in round one, there are the RBs to consider: JTaylor looks the consummate three down back, has receiving chops, and should be in his prime. Gibbs is young, talented, runs behind a top OLine, but his upside is capped by David Montgomery’s role. Saquon still holds that promise of elite level performance, especially on a high level offense. But there are nagging questions of durability and how much upside he could have on an offense with so many other options. Kyren Williams is highly touted by many. But the presence of Blake Corum and his newly announced role of kickoff returner makes one wonder if McVay will give him the same heavy usage that led to his outstanding numbers last season. Drafting an RB at 8 means taking a first WR with the 17th pick, and while Harrison Jr, Drake London and Davante Adams have obvious appeal, they do not have a high chance of cracking that top 5 WR that anchor a fantasy squad. Taking the high WR in Round 1 allows for picking the Hero RB in round two: Kyren, Pacheco, Achane, DHenry, JJacobs or Etienne. All have question marks, but carry high potential. All of these players are good. The fear is that in trying to "get cute" by deviating from ADP will cause a team to miss drafting another player who goes on to have that elite season. So there is a balance between making the safe (consensus) pick, and making the "shoot for the moon" pick by following one's gut. What's the best way to approach this spot to leave round two with the best WR/RB combo to build a team around?

Last year I went through a bit of streaming hell. The pain of a zero at the TE spot is bad. This season, I have the 2nd pick in a 12 teamer. At the 2-3 turn, I face that choice of Andrews or Pitts vs Deebo/Higgins/Pittman etc. Most of the summer, I've been happy to wait, looking at Kmet and his huge target opportunity available in round 8-9. I've mocked waiting on TE, and I've mocked grabbing Andrews at 2.11. Generally, I like the rosters with those top 15 WRs with late round upside TEs. As of now, that is where I have settled. My thoughts on each TE: Kelce: Elite, but at age 33, with a shifting offensive personnel around him, he's got super high opportunity cost. Andrews: If he is 85% of last year, he would be worth a pick at 3.2 for sure. With the RB issues persisting, and his being the #2 target after Bateman, the door is open. Pitts: Such promise here. Talent meeting opportunity. An old Marotta at QB and a feeble offense is the concern. These guys that have ADPs in rounds 5-8 I am not taking. They are drafted among all of the WR upside players, and with those possibly elite QBs. They have high week-to-week variability, could score 14, or could score 3. It's hard to use the value of a mid round pick on these guys. Waller: Is he hurt? Holding out? Adams and Renfrow will not leave a massive number of targets for the TE. Kittle: Boom/bust king. Great but brittle. DSchultz: Made the very most of the opportunity last year. Word is he is JAG, but I could see him repeating his top 5 finish. Goedert: Decent talent, decent opportunity it what will probably be a strong offense. Hockenson: Has yet to live up to his draft value. Not interested. Guys I'm interested in based on ADP: Dawson Knox: Buffalo offense will offer many oppotunities. Big boom potential. Ertz: High powered offense, should be involved heavily, at least until Hop comes back week 7. Cole Kmet: My target. Talented. Weak offense, but should get loads of looks. As lead TE, touchdowns should come. Freiermuth: Had some great weeks, but poor offense and 3 capable WRs vying for targets. Albert Okwuegbuna: Word is that he is super skilled. With Russ at QB, could get high value opportinities. He had some bad press during training camp, but could hit. Later guys, who I may have to fall back on. I'd predict that most of these guys will come with multiple dud weeks. Njoku: Touted as a sleeper. I'm not sure what about his situation sets him apart than most of these other late round guys. HHenry: Someone has to catch TDs in NE right? Higbee: Same situation as last year. Probably same meh results. Gesicki: Forever unmet potential. Hooper: Another guy some people love. He was great that one season in Atlanta. He's been pretty invisible since. Engram: Maybe a change of scene and better coaching will help. Big time butter fingers. Gerald Everett: I like this guy, just because he's now in the Chargers offense. Hot take: I see him with most likely top 10 from this group. Tonyan: Could get some vacated Aaron Rodgers targets, but also could not. Fant: Talented, in lousy situation. Mo Allie Cox: Good for one boom week, and 12+ duds. HHurst: 6th year breakout? Probably not.

Yes. I neglected to mention him. I love his play, but he’s another guy whose wear and tear concern me. I view Jon Taylor as similar upside, but with young legs. JJ at 1.2 offers the elite upside, without the physical punishment that threatens Henry and the other RBs every single touch. Starting WR-RB-RB offers elite WR production and 2 fair shots at RB1 production.

I've drawn the 2 spot in my main league (12 team, Half PPR). A first round pick needs the right combination of high opportunity for elite production with as low risk as possible. If JT falls to me (which he won't) he's a slam dunk. After him, I've got too many concerns about all of the first round RB's. CMac- IF he plays 14+ games, he's a game winning player virtually every week. BUT, the injury history, his high mileage, the rumblings that the team wants to take better care of him, the threat of D'onta Foreman taking high value touches, these all have me concerned. Ekeler- The RB I'm most likely to take at 2. Chargers offense offers tons of opportunity. The drafting of Spiller is a slight concern, but not much more than Josh Kelly etc last season. Najee- Had him last season. So many touches, but efficiency was not good. OLine is poor. QB Kenny Pickett has looked good early in camp, which could be a benefit. DCook- Possibly elite, but was barely an RB1 last season. Which leaves the two elite receivers. JJefferson- My most likely pick. Second year after a revolutionary rookie campaign. All the talk is of increasing his role, the pieces are all in place for a historic season. Kupp- So good. The only question is if he can live up to last season. With Allen Robinson taking Woods' spot, that could ding his opportunities. While mocking, when I take the conventional route with CMac, I typically find myself with him Mike Evans and Keenan Allen after the third round, which would make me feel great- if this was 2019. If I take Andrews in the second to pair with a round 1 RB, I'm set at TE, but then I'm chasing RB/WR depth for the next 6 rounds. AJBrown, Pittman and Tee Higgins are promising, but not slam dunk elite like Jefferson or the other top 5-6 WRs. When taking JJefferson at 1.2, it's possible to get Javonte Williams & James Conner at the 2-3 turn, which gives a solid foundation of younger talent with roles in high octane offenses. I'm interested in thoughts from others drafting from 2. Are my concerns overblown? Can you sell me on feeling confident with CMac? What strategies are you thinking about to counter the teams drafting Diggs/DAdams or Swift/Kelce at the other end of the draft board?

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I lean Herbert just a bit. There tend to be more shootouts in the AFC West than the NFC North. I looked at their strength of schedule; in week 15 Cousins faces the Rams, who are legit tough on D, while Herbert sees the Broncos D, who might not be as good as they've looked playing some lesser opponents so far.

I am WR needy in a Half PPR 12-team redraft league. My WRs are ARob, Woods, and Golliday. I might have potential value on IR with Bateman, Jeudy and Michael Thomas. I’ve been offered Diggs for my Najee Harris, by a RB needy team. Diggs would give me that stud WR with a very good floor who can hammer opponents on any week. My RBs are AJones, Latavius, Damien Harris, AJDillon, McKissic, Alex Collins and Najee. I know I would be left with weak depth behind AJones, but RBs emerge from virtually nowhere every year. thoughts? w h i r

Same boat. I started Gerald Everett for 3 weeks. Two usable, one dud. Then he’s in covid protocol. Considered the dreck FAs available. Conklin, Fisker, Ertz, Schultz, Kmet, Dissly among others. (While mulling this over during the week, Uzomah goes off vs the Jags. That was a joy.) I settled on Schultz, after looking at routes run and all that. His catch % is practically perfect, which is nice. Panthers D has looked good, but I see the game as a high scoring one, Schultz has gotten steady targets, so maybe he finds the end zone. Analytics folks warn against chasing Conklin’s points from last week. A statistical fluke, they say, won’t happen again. I think Ertz might make me wish I went with him. KC D is gentle, but the day could go to Goedert. Or not. All options are far from ideal, not even close to fine actually. I wish you all luck on this journey through the Tight End Wasteland, and look forward to continuing our conversation on this thread next week and beyond.

I’m a mess with Gerald Everett as my only tight end. My WRs are ARob, Woods, RMoore and Golliday I have Rashad Bateman and Jerry Jeudy on IR. Would Jeudy or Bateman get me Tonyan (owner also has Andrews) or Logan Thomas (owner has Kelce)? Or would my offer be insulting? w h i r

Axe- insightful and helpful as always. I have the 8th pick in my league, and I’ve eschewed picking a TE until later rounds for the reasons you’ve described, relating to the opportunity cost that weakens the RB & WR positions. The consensus seems to be that beyond Andrews, Hock and Pitts, TE will be a poop parade of high variable, low production shots in the dark. I’ve got Tonyan as a target in the 8-10 range, then there’s unsure candidates like Higbee, Gronk and Trautman. My question to you is, if you are waiting on TE, which later round guys do you see being capable of providing a fair level of production for a team strong at WR and RB positions?

Started 1-5. Won 8 of 9 since. At QB I have Brady and Hurts to choose from. Starting Brady worked out last week. Him vs the Lions D is enticing. Folks are Gaga over Hurts, but it’s tough to depend on him based off 2 games.

Jonnu practiced in full today. Titans beat writer posits that Wednesday was a "rest day". https://titanswire.usatoday.com/lists/tennessee-titans-minnesota-vikings-injury-report-thursday-week-3/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=NFLdraftmaverickKailaMike Now to decide if I stick with Jonnu or go with Gesicki.

I've got a similar stable of RB's. Drake, Akers, Lindsay, Cohen, Kelley. I dropped Hines last week for Kelley. No regrets for that really, but I am going to try to reacquire Hines. The owners in my long time are pretty conservative. FAAB bids over 30% are rare. I'm bidding 32 on Hines, and 8-10 on Brown. Between Hines, Kelley and the Rams' RBs, hopefully I score a hit. But that's my league. It helps to know your opponents' tendencies.

12 team PPR. I drafted Nyheim Hines of the Colts near the end of my draft. There's the idea floating around that with his receiving skills, he could take on a bit of an Austin Ekeler role for Phillip Rivers. I'm trying to get a jump on an RB who will be a hot waiver add next week. On the wire are the following guys: Chris Thompson: He's got to see action in what should be a pass happy Jags offense. But he's made of glass. Joshua Kelley: He's impressed in camp, and seems the favorite to get a whole lot of vacated carries for the Chargers. He may have a good ceiling, but he's a long shot. Malcom Brown: He's getting the start Sunday against Dallas, but Akers is believed to be the guy to own long term. (Akers is my RB2) Chase Edmonds: As a Kenyon Drake owner, he is the clear handcuff. But carrying a handcuff seriously hampers roster management, which is crucial to building a good team. Thoughts?

Belichick is known for creating customized defensive schemes every week to counter the strengths of whatever team he's facing. It kills me that no coach has been able to play this game with Bill and win. If he's the high quality coach people seem to think he is, Harbaugh should've had his coaching minions developing a killer game plan for this game since June. For the record, I'm starting Jackson. Roster is tight with bye weeks, so picking up a sub streamer is not a realistic option. Go Ravens.