jtztdm 2 Posted August 15, 2018 Just wondering where he is being taken in ppr leagues? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Canadianfan 76 Posted August 15, 2018 Anywhere between 5-8 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tanatastic 2,062 Posted August 15, 2018 Im thinking he will fall to me at 9, but he could also go at 6 after the top 4 and AB. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,883 Posted August 15, 2018 Just wondering where he is being taken in ppr leagues? I doubt many drafts have even happened yet. It's still not going to tell you much. He could go as high as 5, probably as low as 11. Most likely 8 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rallo 136 Posted August 15, 2018 Just went 5th in my league last night... before AB and Kamara Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,756 Posted August 15, 2018 Check his adp... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mullog 12 Posted August 15, 2018 Just went 5th in my league last night... before AB and Kamara Whoever took him that early has high hopes for sure. Or they were just high. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Canadianfan 76 Posted August 15, 2018 The crazy thing is that when it comes to rbs, 4-5 that are in the top 10 today won't be in the top ten a year from now. This year it's hard to pinpoint who 2016 Peterson Gurley Freeman Elliott Bell Martin Charles DJ Miller McCoy 2017 DJ Bell McCoy Gordon Freeman Ajahi Howard Murray Gurley Fournette 2018 Gurley Bell Elliott DJ Kamara Barkley Gordon Hunt Fournette Cook Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cousinal111 57 Posted August 15, 2018 7th in mine, after top 5 RB & AB Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tanatastic 2,062 Posted August 15, 2018 The crazy thing is that when it comes to rbs, 4-5 that are in the top 10 today won't be in the top ten a year from now. This year it's hard to pinpoint who Yep, every year around half the top 12 RBs bust, get hurt or fail to live up to draft status. Fantasypros publishes a great article that breaks it down going back a decade or so. They show who was at adp, how it ended up and who replaced them and why. I’d have to dig for it but it’s a fantastic article. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the newb 23 Posted August 15, 2018 Yep, every year around half the top 12 RBs bust, get hurt or fail to live up to draft status. Fantasypros publishes a great article that breaks it down going back a decade or so. They show who was at adp, how it ended up and who replaced them and why. Id have to dig for it but its a fantastic article.Link it please if you have time. Thanks Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tanatastic 2,062 Posted August 15, 2018 Link it please if you have time. ThanksFound it. Please note it refers to the 2016 season, but the data goes back years and its really great. Near the beginning it shows a year by year percentage of how many RBs from the previous years adp made the top 10 at end of year rank. I think its just a great article. The year by year player by player breakdown is both informative and a fun trip down memory lane. https://www.fantasypros.com/2016/08/predicting-the-top-10-rbs-of-2016-fantasy-football/ Bonus, heres the same article for WRs https://www.fantasypros.com/2016/08/predicting-the-top-10-wrs-of-2016-fantasy-football/ 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jerryskids 6,166 Posted August 15, 2018 Just went 5th in my league last night... before AB and Kamara I can see this argument. He is a physical beast the likes of which we haven't seen since... well, maybe AP, but Barkley may be more of a beast. Problem is that it is hard to defend higher than Bell or DJ in PPR, or Gurley and Zeke as similarly physical beasts with an actual track record. AB has the benefit of being a high value draft pick at WR in a year where nobody else stands out. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DaBeerz 88 Posted August 15, 2018 Just wondering where he is being taken in ppr leagues? 12 team keeper league. He went 5th overall. Dunno if you're redraft or not but...4 of the first 5 picks were RB. 6 of the 12 keepers were RB. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Turcaso 1 Posted August 16, 2018 EXACTLY Anywhere between 5-8 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the newb 23 Posted August 16, 2018 Found it. Please note it refers to the 2016 season, but the data goes back years and its really great. Near the beginning it shows a year by year percentage of how many RBs from the previous years adp made the top 10 at end of year rank. I think its just a great article. The year by year player by player breakdown is both informative and a fun trip down memory lane. https://www.fantasypros.com/2016/08/predicting-the-top-10-rbs-of-2016-fantasy-football/ Bonus, heres the same article for WRs https://www.fantasypros.com/2016/08/predicting-the-top-10-wrs-of-2016-fantasy-football/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DanMarino13 0 Posted August 17, 2018 Based off those articles on Fantasy Pros, I'll make this a post predicting this season's Studs, Disappointments (Top 10 RB dropouts), and Replacements (Finishing in Top 10 RB) The Studs -RB Todd Gurley, RAMS -RB Saquon Barkley, Giants -RB Dalvin Cook, Vikings -RB David Johnson, Cardinals The Disappointments (most from poor team performance/QB play, some from injury/other factors) - RB L'Veon Bell, Steelers - RB Ezekiell Elliot, Cowboys - RB Alvin Kamara, Saints - RB Kareem Hunt, Chiefs - RB Leonard Fournette, Jaguars - RB Melvin Gordon, Chargers The Replacements - RB Christian McCaffrey, Panthers - RB Derrick Henry, Titans - RB Royce Freeman, Broncos - RB Alex Collins, Ravens - RB Nick Chubb, Browns - RB Chris Carson, Seahawks Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tanatastic 2,062 Posted August 17, 2018 Really like that list and the replacements I can see all makin sense. A lot of the guys we expect to be sure things will let us down. Just need to make the most educated guesses possible and shoot for upside when they work out. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,883 Posted August 17, 2018 I can see this argument. He is a physical beast the likes of which we haven't seen since... well, maybe AP, but Barkley may be more of a beast. Problem is that it is hard to defend higher than Bell or DJ in PPR, or Gurley and Zeke as similarly physical beasts with an actual track record. AB has the benefit of being a high value draft pick at WR in a year where nobody else stands out. David Johnson is just as beastly Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gepetto 1,192 Posted August 17, 2018 Based off those articles on Fantasy Pros, I'll make this a post predicting this season's Studs, Disappointments (Top 10 RB dropouts), and Replacements (Finishing in Top 10 RB) The Studs -RB Todd Gurley, RAMS -RB Saquon Barkley, Giants -RB Dalvin Cook, Vikings -RB David Johnson, Cardinals The Disappointments (most from poor team performance/QB play, some from injury/other factors) - RB L'Veon Bell, Steelers - RB Ezekiell Elliot, Cowboys - RB Alvin Kamara, Saints - RB Kareem Hunt, Chiefs - RB Leonard Fournette, Jaguars - RB Melvin Gordon, Chargers The Replacements - RB Christian McCaffrey, Panthers - RB Derrick Henry, Titans - RB Royce Freeman, Broncos - RB Alex Collins, Ravens - RB Nick Chubb, Browns - RB Chris Carson, Seahawks I like this list. These are the guys I'm targeting in my ppr auction: -RB Saquon Barkley, Giants -RB Dalvin Cook, Vikings KEEPER -RB David Johnson, Cardinals - RB Derrick Henry, Titans - RB Royce Freeman, Broncos - RB Alex Collins, Ravens - RB Chris Carson, Seahawks -RB Kenyon Drake, Dolphins Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DaBeerz 88 Posted September 9, 2018 Based off those articles on Fantasy Pros, I'll make this a post predicting this season's Studs, Disappointments (Top 10 RB dropouts), and Replacements (Finishing in Top 10 RB) The Studs -RB Todd Gurley, RAMS -RB Saquon Barkley, Giants -RB Dalvin Cook, Vikings -RB David Johnson, Cardinals The Disappointments (most from poor team performance/QB play, some from injury/other factors) - RB L'Veon Bell, Steelers - RB Ezekiell Elliot, Cowboys - RB Alvin Kamara, Saints - RB Kareem Hunt, Chiefs - RB Leonard Fournette, Jaguars - RB Melvin Gordon, Chargers The Replacements - RB Christian McCaffrey, Panthers - RB Derrick Henry, Titans - RB Royce Freeman, Broncos - RB Alex Collins, Ravens - RB Nick Chubb, Browns - RB Chris Carson, Seahawks This is bold. Not saying you're wrong, but Kamara looked great today and Brees is targeting him a lot. The question is if he can stay healthy through the season more than if he'll produce. If and When Bell gets signed, I still think he'll be quite productive. It does make me really happy that I traded Bell in the draft and still kept Gurley though! Time will tell I guess, but thanks for putting this out there, I'll keep an eye on your replacements list! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DaBeerz 88 Posted September 9, 2018 Found it. Please note it refers to the 2016 season, but the data goes back years and its really great. Near the beginning it shows a year by year percentage of how many RBs from the previous years adp made the top 10 at end of year rank. I think its just a great article. The year by year player by player breakdown is both informative and a fun trip down memory lane. https://www.fantasypros.com/2016/08/predicting-the-top-10-rbs-of-2016-fantasy-football/ Bonus, heres the same article for WRs https://www.fantasypros.com/2016/08/predicting-the-top-10-wrs-of-2016-fantasy-football/ Pretty insightful work here, thanks for linking. I hope he updates this article for next year. His table with the flags and possible breakouts is spot on. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites