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Cretins

Keeper help to fill the last spot

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4 keeper format, non-PPR.  I've got my mind set on the first 3 (Tyreek @ 2, James Cook @ 8 and Dell @ 17), just need to figure out the last one.  I've got it down to the following...
 

- Joe Burrow @ 4.  If he was going to be worth, say, a 6th or later this would be the slam dunk choice.  This feels early compared to his ADP, but to be considered is that by the time everyone keeps 4 players the remaining players could go up to 4 rounds earlier than standard ADP. 

- Ty Chandler @ 9.  I was high on him at the end of the season but Minni bringing in Aaron Jones killed that.  Could we be looking at a committee?  Will Jones last the season?  So much risk/reward here. 

- Jake Ferguson @ 9.    Not really much better than ADP.   If we assume that Laporta and Kelce are kept there's still going to be a lot of TE's ahead of Ferguson available.  The question is where. 

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Ferguson 

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Interesting.  Can you elaborate as to why you'd pick Ferguson?

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His ADP is late 7th rd- early 8th rd, I think he’s a good value for a 9th rd.   I like Chandler, but his adp is later, I think you can pick himback up.    

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Cretins you said it yourself, w/ everyone keeping 4 players. ADP moves up 4 rounds or so. So you are getting a Round 7 pick currently in Round 9, but when you account for your 4 round adp jump from players kept, theoretically Ferguson could go as early as Round 3 or 4. I imagine LaPorta and Kelce are going to be the only other TE's kept, so everyone will need one and they will be grabbing them early. Good value keeping Ferguson for a 9. Chandler may have value later, but Jones will get most of the work right away. Burrow seems early. Plenty of QB's available. 

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