In all seriousness - FAAB bid for I. Likely??

[Bills04 54]

I saw an article on Rotoworld, that one guy is putting in 33% of his FAAB budget for I. Likely.  I have Andrews..  Do I bid $333 for Likely?

 

What are other peeps doing?  Mention if you are an Andrews owner, also.

 

FWIW: my backup plan is LAR TE C. Parkinson.  Gonna drop my TE2 within the transaction(s) - CIN TE M. Gesicki.

 

[wolves111 94]

1 minute ago, Bills04 said:

I saw an article on Rotoworld, that one guy is putting in 33% of his FAAB budget for I. Likely.  I have Andrews..  Do I bid $333 for Likely?

 

What are other peeps doing?  Mention if you are an Andrews owner, also.

 

FWIW: my backup plan is LAR TE C. Parkinson.  Gonna drop my TE2 within the transaction(s) - CIN TE M. Gesicki.

 

Unfortunately that’s what it will take. Not worth it 

[defectivesupport 8]

This will be one of those times that no one has a true answer for you.  It will cost a lot to get him, but if anything like what we saw Thursday continues, likely was operating as the WR1 on the team.  The question always comes down to - will it continue?  Were the chiefs just scheming to take away other guys and likely was the beneficiary? Will the ravens just run 80% of the game vs worse opponents?  How much more/less value will Likely provide than someone else off the waivers later on?

As far as Likely goes:

Last year without Andrews at the end of the season averaged 4.5 rec, 54yards,1 TD over the last 6 games.  His avg reception over that time was 15.5 yards.  So he already has a track record of being a longer range receiving target, as well as a consistent red zone target for Jackson.  He also played 75%+ of snaps in those games (with the rest of the season being around 20-30%).  This week he played 66% - which lends towards him having a similar role to the end of last year...  The rest is up to your thoughts on whether this was an anomaly or not.

For me, I'm leaning towards spending on him, as I do not think there will be a popup WR (maybe there will be a RB) that would win me the league whereas Likely has some data to backup this outburst and he would be a marked improvement over what I currently have.  He also just passed the eye test during the game for me - so I'm willing to bet that he will continue to trend.

 

[easilyscan 715]

1 hour ago, defectivesupport said:

This will be one of those times that no one has a true answer for you.  It will cost a lot to get him, but if anything like what we saw Thursday continues, likely was operating as the WR1 on the team.  The question always comes down to - will it continue?  Were the chiefs just scheming to take away other guys and likely was the beneficiary? Will the ravens just run 80% of the game vs worse opponents?  How much more/less value will Likely provide than someone else off the waivers later on?

As far as Likely goes:

Last year without Andrews at the end of the season averaged 4.5 rec, 54yards,1 TD over the last 6 games.  His avg reception over that time was 15.5 yards.  So he already has a track record of being a longer range receiving target, as well as a consistent red zone target for Jackson.  He also played 75%+ of snaps in those games (with the rest of the season being around 20-30%).  This week he played 66% - which lends towards him having a similar role to the end of last year...  The rest is up to your thoughts on whether this was an anomaly or not.

For me, I'm leaning towards spending on him, as I do not think there will be a popup WR (maybe there will be a RB) that would win me the league whereas Likely has some data to backup this outburst and he would be a marked improvement over what I currently have.  He also just passed the eye test during the game for me - so I'm willing to bet that he will continue to trend.

 

A+

[JagFan 128]

2 hours ago, defectivesupport said:

This will be one of those times that no one has a true answer for you.  It will cost a lot to get him, but if anything like what we saw Thursday continues, likely was operating as the WR1 on the team.  The question always comes down to - will it continue?  Were the chiefs just scheming to take away other guys and likely was the beneficiary? Will the ravens just run 80% of the game vs worse opponents?  How much more/less value will Likely provide than someone else off the waivers later on?

As far as Likely goes:

Last year without Andrews at the end of the season averaged 4.5 rec, 54yards,1 TD over the last 6 games.  His avg reception over that time was 15.5 yards.  So he already has a track record of being a longer range receiving target, as well as a consistent red zone target for Jackson.  He also played 75%+ of snaps in those games (with the rest of the season being around 20-30%).  This week he played 66% - which lends towards him having a similar role to the end of last year...  The rest is up to your thoughts on whether this was an anomaly or not.

For me, I'm leaning towards spending on him, as I do not think there will be a popup WR (maybe there will be a RB) that would win me the league whereas Likely has some data to backup this outburst and he would be a marked improvement over what I currently have.  He also just passed the eye test during the game for me - so I'm willing to bet that he will continue to trend.

 

I agree with all of this, and very well done!  I do have a reservation, though.  This is a run first team, and outside of Andrews there really hasn’t ever been a reliable receiver with Lamar.  I’m worried about the consistency you just outlined…but you did it so well I almost changed my mind.