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The Psychic Observer

The state of America as Trump assumes Power

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Economy - Dow is 43.5k, Inflation rate is at 2.9%, Unemployment rate is at 4.1% with 161M people employed, GDP growth is 3.1%.  The US has the best economy in the world among the G6.

Illegal border crossings - 44k December 2024, lowest level since July 2020.

Crime - Violent crime rate continues to fall back to 2019 levels

 

We will revisit these metrics quarterly as Trump puts his footprint on America.

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1 minute ago, listen2me 23 said:

So what do you want to discuss now?  Lol

Well how the country is doing with some with a few  somewhat generic but relatable stats.

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7 minutes ago, The Psychic Observer said:

Economy - Dow is 43.5k, Inflation rate is at 2.9%, Unemployment rate is at 4.1% with 6.9M people employed, GDP growth is 3.1%.  The US has the best economy in the world among the G6.

Illegal border crossings - 44k December 2024, lowest level since July 2020.

Crime - Violent crime rate continues to fall back to 2019 levels

 

We will revisit these metrics quarterly as Trump puts his footprint on America.

If you want a serious discussion Gutter, you won't use the last month of border crossing data as the metric.  Rather, you will use the data from all 48 months.

Also, 2.9% is almost 50% higher than the typical 2% the Fed wants before lowering interest rates.  But they lowered them anyway.  We'll see if they are as cooperative with Trump.

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If we simply match these numbers under Prez Bozo I’ll be ecstatic. Make it happen Orange Julius.

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The inflation rate is the key #. It’s the single most important reason that Trump won the election IMO. If it comes down during the next 4 years then his Presidency will be seen  as as success pretty much no matter what else happens short of calamity or war. If it does not come down, or actually rises, then he will be viewed as a failure. 

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26 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

So what do you want to discuss now?  Lol

I think there are those who want to insist that things are just great, and refuse to accept or acknowledge the damage that has been done and the harm caused.   I might note that it is this active gaslighting which was rather helpful in swaying the election away from them.  So while we might want object, lets allow them room to do this, it will help in the mid terms.

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46 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

The inflation rate is the key #. It’s the single most important reason that Trump won the election IMO. If it comes down during the next 4 years then his Presidency will be seen  as as success pretty much no matter what else happens short of calamity or war. If it does not come down, or actually rises, then he will be viewed as a failure. 

It's more than that.  The inflation rate is not high right now.  Trump has said he will lower the price of groceries and lower the cost of energy.  That was a lie.  He can't and won't do either.

Simply lowering inflation doesn't lower the cost of groceries.  Trump will blame Biden when he doesn't do it.

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2 minutes ago, TrailGuy said:

It's more than that.  The inflation rate is not high right now.  Trump has said he will lower the price of groceries and lower the cost of energy.  That was a lie.  He can't and won't do either.

Simply lowering inflation doesn't lower the cost of groceries.  Trump will blame Biden when he doesn't do it.

he WILL lower the cost of energy, which WILL lower the cost of everything

 

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2 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

he WILL lower the cost of energy, which WILL lower the cost of everything

 

Saved for posterity

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The energy just feels so much better since Trump won.

This isn't a time to be complacent though. The government wields too much power over everyone. We need the government to be accountable to us. Trump is a massive upgrade, but we need even better leaders yet.

Get the pedophiles out. Integrity needs to make a comeback.

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My takeaway is that this is NOT a failed nation that needs saving.  We're doing pretty good and hopefully Dumpf doesn't fuk it all up.

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2 minutes ago, avoiding injuries said:

Hopefully we see negative inflation over the next few years

Negative inflation? 🤣

Boyo.  That means the economy is contracting.  Recession.  That's not what we should be hoping for 🤣

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3 minutes ago, TrailGuy said:

Negative inflation? 🤣

Boyo.  That means the economy is contracting.  Recession.  That's not what we should be hoping for 🤣

The system is dependent on currency inflation unfortunately. We need a system that does not rely on currency inflation. Total global debt is 300%+ of global gdp. Doesnt make any sense.

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22 minutes ago, TrailGuy said:

It's more than that.  The inflation rate is not high right now.  Trump has said he will lower the price of groceries and lower the cost of energy.  That was a lie.  He can't and won't do either.

Simply lowering inflation doesn't lower the cost of groceries.  Trump will blame Biden when he doesn't do it.

To most people lowering grocery prices is lowering inflation. So I agree with you that’s what he will need to be viewed as a success. 

 

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1 hour ago, The Psychic Observer said:

Economy - Dow is 43.5k, Inflation rate is at 2.9%, Unemployment rate is at 4.1% with 161M people employed, GDP growth is 3.1%.  The US has the best economy in the world among the G6.

Illegal border crossings - 44k December 2024, lowest level since July 2020.

Crime - Violent crime rate continues to fall back to 2019 levels

 

We will revisit these metrics quarterly as Trump puts his footprint on America.

Lol....talk about cherry picking stats.  Inflation rate was 1.4 percent when Biden took over.  We the proceeded to have runaway inflation where we had greater than 5 percent inflation for 24 months peaking out at 9.1 percent t at one point.   Yeah, let's pretend that did not happen.  Go eff yourself. 

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22 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

he WILL lower the cost of energy, which WILL lower the cost of everything

 

I think all people of good will are rooting for this to happen. If it does I for one will congratulate President Trump and reassess my opinion of him. 
 

If it doesn’t I trust you will also reevaluate? 

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10 minutes ago, TrailGuy said:

Negative inflation? 🤣

Boyo.  That means the economy is contracting.  Recession.  That's not what we should be hoping for 🤣

Lower energy costs are bad? Do tell

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California is burning.  Violent Crime and homelessness is Rampant.  Central and South American gangs have taken over cities.  War in the Middle East and Ukraine.  North Carolina and Maui are still disasters.  Violent transgenders shooting up schools every other week.  Bird Flu. Radical Islamic domestic terror attacks.  Chinese spy balloons and drones have free rein. Weaponized DOJ collecting domestic political prisoners.  
 

This is all why America sent up the Trumpsignal ™️ in November for a hero to save us. 

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The country is literally on fire. 

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2 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

I think all people of good will are rooting for this to happen. If it does I for one will congratulate President Trump and reassess my opinion of him. 
 

If it doesn’t I trust you will also reevaluate? 

absolutely

if prices stay the same I will be happy too, as long as he does the deporting of criminals (which 143 dems voted against deporting sex offenders) and stop the endless spending in Ukraine

those 3 things are the top 3 on my list

I will be happy if any 1 of them occur as long as their is effort on the other 2

 

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Per my last post: as of now I do not agree with the conservative argument that increasing American energy supply (particularly oil and coal production) will result in lower prices at the pump and at the grocery store. The main reason I disagree is because energy is a global commodity and its trade is simply too large for us to affect it significantly based on our own production. 
 

However the proof is in the pudding. Trump is definitely going to go the “drill drill drill” route so we’ll see if the conservative argument is right or wrong. I certainly don’t mind being wrong about this. 

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1 minute ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

absolutely

if prices stay the same I will be happy too, as long as he does the deporting of criminals (which 143 dems voted against deporting sex offenders) and stop the endless spending in Ukraine

those 3 things are the top 3 on my list

I will be happy if any 1 of them occur as long as their is effort on the other 2

 

I’m with you on deporting violent criminals, not on deporting non-violent people. 
We disagree, strongly, on Ukraine. 

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1 hour ago, The Real timschochet said:

The inflation rate is the key #. It’s the single most important reason that Trump won the election IMO. If it comes down during the next 4 years then his Presidency will be seen  as as success pretty much no matter what else happens short of calamity or war. If it does not come down, or actually rises, then he will be viewed as a failure. 

LOL another political insight by Tim that will be wrong.  Why oh why do you continue to try and make political predictions wen you are wrong almost every single time?

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2 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

I’m with you on deporting violent criminals, not on deporting non-violent people. 
We disagree, strongly, on Ukraine. 

why should we fund war of a non NATO country?  Why is it our job? When does Ukraine send money to the US?

of course when we spend so much to make Ukraine a proxy nation it makes sense to keep it that way

 

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9 minutes ago, jonmx said:

Lol....talk about cherry picking stats.  Inflation rate was 1.4 percent when Biden took over.  We the proceeded to have runaway inflation where we had greater than 5 percent inflation for 24 months peaking out at 9.1 percent t at one point.   Yeah, let's pretend that did not happen.  Go eff yourself. 

Immigration is also seasonal.  More crossings in the warmer months.  December stats are cherry picking.  

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3 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

I am actually torn on this. Please don’t simplify an issue based on the title of the bill; there are good legitimate arguments to oppose that bill. Many of them are listed here: 

https://www.commondreams.org/news/violence-against-women-act-immigration

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1 minute ago, supermike80 said:

LOL another political insight by Tim that will be wrong.  Why oh why do you continue to try and make political predictions wen you are wrong almost every single time?

Sometimes I get things right. Why do you think I’m wrong this time? 

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1 minute ago, The Real timschochet said:

I am actually torn on this. Please don’t simplify an issue based on the title of the bill; there are good legitimate arguments to oppose that bill. Many of them are listed here: 

https://www.commondreams.org/news/violence-against-women-act-immigration

Which reasons do you agree with? 

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1 minute ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

why should we fund war of a non NATO country?  Why is it our job? When does Ukraine send money to the US?

of course when we spend so much to make Ukraine a proxy nation it makes sense to keep it that way

 

We’ve had this discussion/debate before. You’ve read my arguments and rejected them which is your prerogative. I’ve read your arguments and rejected them. Not sure there is much we can add at this point. 

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1 minute ago, The Real timschochet said:

Sometimes I get things right. Why do you think I’m wrong this time? 

Because you're almost always wrong when you post your "I'm smarter than all of you guys" predictions, then get them wrong over and over and over.   

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Just now, The Real timschochet said:

If, as argued, it actually weakens domestic victims, then that would really concern me. 

I didn’t get that part. Can you explain it?

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Just now, supermike80 said:

Because you're almost always wrong when you post your "I'm smarter than all of you guys" predictions, then get them wrong over and over and over.   

That’s not an answer. And do you really think noting that Trump’s success or failure is tied to inflation is a “I’m smarter than you” comment? It seems pretty obvious, 

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