I'm Getting Pretty Good At 3 Leg NBA Player Parlays

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

If I place two $5 3 leg parlays one usually hits and add in the free % profit boost it's all good.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

For just $9.88 I will give ya my secret.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Okay so you are saying to yourself I don't want to give this ahole $9.88 and just give us a taste. I got ya and since I'm doing so well at the player props parlay's, I haven't bet the O/U. Check the player props betting at the time and if they are mostly lower the then players averages it's going to be a under game and vise versa. Yes sounds like common sense but the average better never takes the time to check this stuff. One other thing If I see a 2 or more point higher difference from a players average take him for the over and he is Golden in that game. If o/u is a point or two lower then his average Red Flag! Run and no bet. Also I could tell this NFL season the O/U by player props spread. Again the average betters won't notice this. Not BS and won decent money this year on small bets, Doing well now like I said  on 3 leg NBA parlays.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

One other thing it's good to know the players that come through more then the others and Maxey has been great for me so far and kicked ass last night. Like him, he is just a safer bet then some other players, His point difference though was 2.5 points higher than his average , so figured he would go of some what but not 40 plus points.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Hit for $33 tonight with Brunson, Cunnigham and Siakam.

[Mookz 1,329]

Trailing. 

[Fireballer 2,634]

8 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Hit for $33 tonight with Brunson, Cunnigham and Siakam.

So you’re saying you parlayed these three players points prop because the prop line was slightly higher than their average points per game?

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

7 hours ago, Fireballer said:

So you’re saying you parlayed these three players points prop because the prop line was slightly higher than their average points per game?

Pretty much but the ones that are two points or higher on the spread than their average. I probably hit 7 out of 10, 3 legs parlays in the last two weeks doing it.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Going to pick one 3 leg tonight before the games in a bit and will post who I take for tonight.

[Mookz 1,329]

3 leg NBA players would seem to have an advantage. 

[Fireballer 2,634]

48 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Pretty much but the ones that are two points or higher on the spread than their average. I probably hit 7 out of 10, 3 legs parlays in the last two weeks doing it.

Nice. The parlays are about +300 to +400?  That’s awesome. I like little systems like this.  Obviously, there’s a lot of back and forth between looking at the prop lines and in the books and a stat site with ppg.  Is there a good site that has stats laid out well for this system?  Do you stick with the big names, or you also look at guys that are 8-10 ppg guys?

[jonmx 2,377]

I had no idea there even were 3-legged NBA players.   That must be whar allows them to take so many steps without traveling.  

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Lebron O- 27.5

Kyle Kuzma 0-16.5

JA Morant O 22.5

$5 for $24.14 no profit boost for this one.

Going to do a No Sweat one on FD later with the TNT games as well.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

3 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Nice.  I like little systems like this.  Obviously, there’s a lot. If back and forth between looking at the prop lines and in the books and a state site with ppg.  Is there a good site that has stats laid out well for this system?  Do you stick with the big names, or you also look at guys that are 8-10 ppg guys?

I go by players averages on CBS Sports and yea bigger stars seem to hit more.

[Mookz 1,329]

9 minutes ago, jonmx said:

I had no idea there even were 3-legged NBA players.   That must be whar allows them to take so many steps without traveling.  

You've never been in the locker room. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Here's my 3 leg No Sweat for tonight and didn't get quite the two point or more swing since it's the same game but they are higher than their averages and will take a chance since it's a no sweat one.

Atlanta vs Cleveland

D Garland O 22.5

E Mobley O 17.5

Tree Young O 23.5

$9 for $46.54

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

I'm actually going to play some BB before these games tonight, haven't shot around in over 2 years, me and a few friends rented our local gym court for a hour tonight.

[WhiteWonder 2,631]

41 minutes ago, jonmx said:

I had no idea there even were 3-legged NBA players.   That must be whar allows them to take so many steps without traveling.  

a lot of them have third legs. It's how they have so many kids

[Fireballer 2,634]

I’m gonna try this another way too.  I’m rounding down to 15,20, etc.  For example, I’m playing Mobley at 15+.  3 leg is giving me around +125. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Sorry about that and blowouts ruined both and I usually pick close games, Morant  is a scratch in the one so wouldn't have made much either.not suggesting to tale me in this one but I'm doing one more for the night.

Jalen Green O 23.5

Jaren Jakson Jr O 24.5

Anfrenee Simons O 19.5

$5 for $27.96

[edjr 6,525]

squissy says most guys in the nba have 3 legs

[Fireballer 2,634]

@BeenHereBefore you run this back anymore since the other night?  If so, how was it? 

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

6 hours ago, Fireballer said:

@BeenHereBefore you run this back anymore since the other night?  If so, how was it? 

I hit one for $27 last night with Bam, Lebron and Devin Booker. Forgot about the earlier games today. Not crazy about the Spread in these to upcoming games. May bet one just for the sake of betting though.Tuesday should be a good day to bet and choose from.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Put this one in earlier today so points might have change a little.

Jalen Brunson O 27.5

Jalen Green O 23.5

Miles Bridges O 24.5

$5 for $25.77

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

4 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Put this one in earlier today so points might have change a little.

Jalen Brunson O 27.5

Jalen Green O 23.5

Miles Bridges O 24.5

$5 for $25.77

Sorry guys and Miles F me by half a point and when I lose it's usually one player by half a point. I did one other and hit but was a SGP and only did it cause of a profit boost. Didn't post it being same game and are usually harder of course.

Same Game Parlay™

+495

+643

30%

PROFIT BOOST USED

Cade Cunningham Over 26.5 Cade Cunningham - Points, Trae Young Over 23.5 Trae Young - Points, De'Andre Hunter Over 19.5 De'Andre Hunter - Points

Atlanta Hawks

34392829

130128

Detroit Pistons

35293430

128130

4th - 0:334th - 00'

Box Score

Play-by-play

Go to event

Cade Cunningham Over 26.5

Cade Cunningham - Points

26.5

28

Trae Young Over 23.5

Trae Young - Points

23.5

32

De'Andre Hunter Over 19.5

De'Andre Hunter - Points

19.5

20

$5.00

TOTAL WAGER

$37.20

WON ON FANDUEL

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

doing 2 tonight

Bam Adebayo O 19.5

Coby White O 19.5

Tyrese Halilburton O 19.5

19.5 theme going for $5 for  $24.90

Take a chance at a late SGP

Lebron O 26.5

Kawhi Leonard O 19.5

Rui Hachimura O 14.5

$5 for $28.30

[WhiteWonder 2,631]

I mean no disrespect.... because I respect that you have tried to put a system together and shared it, but it seems more like you just had a little hot streak with 3 leg parlays and the "system" here is just as likely to hit or not hit as anything else when dealing with just 3 legs.

Every play that you posted prior to the games has lost, if i'm seeing it correctly... and the only hits are the ones you posted after the fact. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Killed it tonight and nailed both parlays and 2 player solo bets I had in my parlays that I knew was going to be good...( Curry & Anthony Edwards) Even the two players that I never heard of hit in my parlays but right till the end. All cause their point spreads was slightly over two points than their average. Not going to post my picks on here anymore but trust me this sh!t works and I just go through all games and look for the two point difference, there are some games that have none and I won't be on them. Try this for a week or two yourself and get back to me. Again like to do this with the bigger stars but both bums hit tonight as well.

One other thing I started the other day is bet on the 3 player props solo as well cause when I'm wrong it's usually one player off and will make up for the parlay bet so you break close to even.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

,One more thing when Lebron faces Curry he is Golden to go off and no pun intended and a no brainier. think it's his Ego.

[WhiteWonder 2,631]

Still curious about this. What do you think is the logic behind the 2+ points over their season average? You think it means that the books are indicating a game where they think that player is likely to go off, so as bettors we should expect them to really go off? I find it hard to believe that books don't have this properly priced in  and seems like you are hitting about 50% of the time just going by the losses you posted before the games and the wins you've posted after. 

Personally when I bet NBA the first thing I do is look only at games I think will be close  (this is harder in today's NBA with how often stars sit or how often teams are willing to give up and rest those stars in the 4th).  I don't want to need 3 points from a star who doesn't play the last 8 minutes of the game. Then, personally I look for stars who's point lines have fallen because of a few underwhelming performances.  I don't always stick to stars though. Sometimes I will target guys who I think will have expanded roles due to another player being out. That's why I played Dante Exum last night. his line was 7.5. He's just been back recently and had gone over that number in 2 of his 3 games back. No AD and someone else was out, i forget who. I almost played it up to 10+ points but stuck with the line. 

But it kind of feels like the real "strategy" here is sticking to 3 leg parlays and utilizing FD's profit boosts and no sweat tokens. Perhaps, as someone mentioned earlier in the thread, playing the totals down  (ex. Curry 23.5 using Curry to score 20+) and making the parlay 4 legs to qualify for the boost or the no sweat token. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

2 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

Still curious about this. What do you think is the logic behind the 2+ points over their season average? You think it means that the books are indicating a game where they think that player is likely to go off, so as bettors we should expect them to really go off? I find it hard to believe that books don't have this properly priced in  and seems like you are hitting about 50% of the time just going by the losses you posted before the games and the wins you've posted after. 

Personally when I bet NBA the first thing I do is look only at games I think will be close  (this is harder in today's NBA with how often stars sit or how often teams are willing to give up and rest those stars in the 4th).  I don't want to need 3 points from a star who doesn't play the last 8 minutes of the game. Then, personally I look for stars who's point lines have fallen because of a few underwhelming performances.  I don't always stick to stars though. Sometimes I will target guys who I think will have expanded roles due to another player being out. That's why I played Dante Exum last night. his line was 7.5. He's just been back recently and had gone over that number in 2 of his 3 games back. No AD and someone else was out, i forget who. I almost played it up to 10+ points but stuck with the line. 

But it kind of feels like the real "strategy" here is sticking to 3 leg parlays and utilizing FD's profit boosts and no sweat tokens. Perhaps, as someone mentioned earlier in the thread, playing the totals down  (ex. Curry 23.5 using Curry to score 20+) and making the parlay 4 legs to qualify for the boost or the no sweat token. 

Yea why I'm not posting anymore on here cause I swear it jinx them but am hitting them a lot, Kinda same thing I notice on football props when I see a player with really high catch % they hit more times then not and also prime time games seem to do better as well. I forgot to mention I try to bet the closer score games also and stay away from the big spread ones.Reason I think they high player props hit more is the average better is scared off from the high spread which I use to be but not anymore. Been working for the last month for me and time for me to up the wagers soon.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

One of those parlays I won they took the money back and listed the one player 14 points instead of 16 he had the night, also was a no sweat token I used and pricks didn't award that either after. first time this has ever happened to me where they made a later correction. Since it was a win for hours first, guess that is why I didn't get the no sweat  for losing it. They are rewarded right after the loss.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

I'm still doing good with this but fock up tonight cause I rushed a bet and took a player with a +, you don't want that and want star player with 2 points above  their average and with the -. Made  a measly $3 though cause I also had solo bets on all three players and the two - hit. Curry and Herro.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Cool OT and still have a chance at the parlay and solo bet.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

Have Trey Murphy 24.5 and he has 18 now going into OT.Ahh he sucks tonight and didn't like the +. Oh well $3.51 will get me a cup of coffee somewhere.

[BeenHereBefore 1,435]

The other night paid for my Batman Dvd series off Amazon.